MCN Advanced Plan
Military expert Ivan from Ukraine, after observing the current situation in Red Army City, remarked, \"I believe we will lose this city in the next 60 days because the Russian forces are steadily narrowing the military encirclement, advancing closer to the city!\" Ivan further indicated, \"With Trump escalating sanctions, the 'clock' is ticking, although Putin may not take Trump's threats seriously, he will accelerate actions towards Red Army City.\"
On July 30th, \"Moscow Times\" interviewed several military experts regarding the current battle in Red Army City, and the prevailing sentiment among many is pessimism about how long the Ukrainian forces can hold out. Throughout the article, \"Moscow Times\" presented four viewpoints.
Firstly, it is noted that Ukrainian forces are depleted, providing opportunities for Russian infiltration into the city center. Since July 21st, Russian troops have continuously penetrated the urban areas of Red Army City. A Ukrainian military blogger on Telegram remarked, \"There are many Russian military personnel within the city, with no clear defensive lines; most Ukrainian commanders do not understand their areas of responsibility, resulting in complete chaos. The main Ukrainian forces are outside the city and their strength is dwindling, making it impossible to cope with Russian infiltrators inside.\"
Ukrainian expert Ivan pointed out, \"The front line stretches over 1,000 kilometers, and the Ukrainian forces are severely understaffed, which has given the Russian forces an advantage.\"
Secondly, Russian tactics primarily involve siege warfare. Currently, Russian forces are steadily advancing towards Red Army City from the north, east, and south, utilizing infantry squads and drones to continuously strike the exhausted and poorly equipped Ukrainian troops.
A Russian expert stated, \"In addition to frontal assaults, Russian infantry squads often infiltrate behind defensive lines. Ukrainian forces lack sufficient infantry and equipment to deal with these small, agile Russian squads, allowing the latter to exploit weaknesses in the defense lines and launch attacks.\"
Due to effective Russian tactics, they are compressing the defenses of Red Army City from multiple directions. The next targets for Russian forces will be Rodinsky and Myrnohrad, aiming to cut off a major western road of Red Army City. Once these objectives are achieved, Red Army City will be completely surrounded.
A British military analyst commented, \"The military tactics used by Russian forces in Red Army City differ significantly from those in Bahmut and Avdiivka. In the latter cases, direct street fighting led to prolonged and costly battles. In Red Army City, Russian forces are employing encirclement tactics to draw the main Ukrainian forces outside the city, thus avoiding a repeat of Bahmut's fate.\"
Thirdly, the fate of the battle hinges on the Red Army City-Pavlohrad Highway, which is currently the last supply line for the defending forces of Red Army City.
Despite continuous drone attacks by Russian forces, transport along this highway has not halted. Ukrainian supply trucks are speeding at 150 kilometers per hour, trying to evade drone strikes.
If Russian forces manage to completely sever this highway, Ukrainian forces will face a difficult choice: to continue defending the city, facing inevitable capture, or to evacuate, abandoning the city and its territories.
A Ukrainian soldier who fought in the Kursk region remarked, \"Based on my combat experience in Kursk, once logistics collapse, defense collapses as well. At that time, the Russians cut off the route from Suhaj to the border, and the entire defense line collapsed thereafter.\"
Fourthly, Ukrainian military expert Ivan predicted, \"Ukrainian forces will lose this city within the next 60 days. Russian forces have the capability to destroy any defensive fortifications of Ukrainian forces in Red Army City using glide bombs and drones. The difficulty facing Ukrainian forces is evident: the front line from Sumy to Kherson spans over 1,000 kilometers, and they lack both manpower and adequate weapons and equipment. Under intense Russian firepower, the combat effectiveness of Ukrainian forces in the direction of Red Army City has reached its limit.\"
While Trump's threats of sanctions loom, they seem to have little impact on Russian actions and might even expedite Putin's desire to conclude the battle in Red Army City swiftly. Furthermore, once the battle in Red Army City concludes, the conflict will not cease, as Russian military confidence upon capturing Donetsk entirely will be greatly bolstered.
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